Yes position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$69.75
Polymarket Trader
lunae20
0xb0f65a17694cfa95f4c34a4edd1530218de1451c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.9K
- Realized PnL
- $8.54K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$172.5
No position
Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $992.5
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$8.5
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $990.5
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$220.5
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $604.98
- Potential payout
- $999.97
- Potential profit
- $394.99
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$95
No position
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.2%
- Current value
- $463.26
- Potential payout
- $577.99
- Potential profit
- $114.73
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$22.27
No position
Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$75
No position
Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.98
- Potential profit
- $499.98
- User PnL
- -$35
No position
Will Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $428
- Potential profit
- $428
- User PnL
- -$85.32
No position
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $319.02
- Potential payout
- $401.29
- Potential profit
- $82.26
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $1.78
No position
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $339.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $60.2
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$4.48
No position
Will BP (BP) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$24
No position
Will Verizon (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.6%
- Current value
- $49.1
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $150.89
- Multiplier
- 4.07x
- User PnL
- -$9.3
Yes position
Will Caesars Entertainment (CZR) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180.8
- Potential profit
- $180.8
- User PnL
- -$50.62
No position
Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149.8
- Potential profit
- $149.8
- User PnL
- -$8.99
No position
Will BP be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $88.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $11.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $7.58
No position
Will Integra Lifesciences (IART) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$34
No position
Will Dolby Laboratories (DLB) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81
- Potential profit
- $81
- User PnL
- -$8.1
No position
Will KKR (KKR) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.07
- Potential profit
- $22.07
- User PnL
- -$3.31
No position
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $9.35
- Potential payout
- $11.91
- Potential profit
- $2.56
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $951.49
No position
Will WD-40 Company (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $843.48
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $755.41
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $533.89
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $508.47
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $488.32
No position
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $402.49
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.07
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $319.08
No position
Will Tripadvisor (TRIP) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.4
No position
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.94
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.84
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $268
No position
Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $224.78
No position
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.59
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $212
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $205.7
No position
Will Autozone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.98
No position
Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.5
No position
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.16
No position
Will MGM Resorts International (MGM) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 92% 150 shares
- Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?No 15% 442.03 shares
- Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?No 30% 5 shares
- Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?No 55% 5 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No 3.1% 711 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 4.4% 1,100 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 99.6% 210 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 99.4% 300 shares
- Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?Yes 97.4% 299.96 shares
- Spread: Bucks (-8.5)Bucks 47% 100 shares
- Spread: Bucks (-7.5)Bucks 51% 100 shares
- Spread: Bucks (-6.5)Bucks 55% 100 shares