Polymarket Trader

Vitrium

0xb0f762245df7e33589f18c4c80ca3eafe8985d56

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $96.15
Realized PnL: $6.08K
Win rate: 54.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.56K
Potential profit: $54.56K
User PnL: -$54.56

No position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48K
Potential profit: $48K
User PnL: -$48

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $30K
User PnL: -$150

No position

US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.45K
Potential profit: $29.45K
User PnL: -$38.88

No position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.21K
Potential profit: $25.21K
User PnL: -$52.09

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.11K
Potential profit: $23.11K
User PnL: -$404.9

No position

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$45

No position

Will "Comeback" be said at the Super Bowl?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.5K
Potential profit: $10.5K
User PnL: -$202.6

Yes position

Will the US strike Syria next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.66K
Potential profit: $9.66K
User PnL: -$299.99

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33K
Potential profit: $8.33K
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$8.99

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.51K
Potential profit: $5.51K
User PnL: -$217.81

Yes position

Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.68K
Potential profit: $4.68K
User PnL: -$222.16

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.3K
Potential profit: $4.3K
User PnL: -$241.87

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $96.15
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.4K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $5.05

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.3K
Potential profit: $3.3K
User PnL: -$76.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.9K
Potential profit: $2.9K
User PnL: -$153.96

No position

Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.26K
Potential profit: $2.26K
User PnL: -$95

No position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $2.01K
User PnL: -$20.1

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47K

Yes position

Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $395.1

Yes position

Will "Style" be said at the Super Bowl?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

Will Russia enter Sofiivka by February 28?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.99

No position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49

Yes position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$175

Yes position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$600

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?

No 2.8% 357 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 9.3% 1,284.93 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 5.5% 110 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?

No 2.8% 500 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.3% 1,473.33 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.1% 2,022.86 shares
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 20,000 shares
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 5% 951 shares
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Yes 0.1% 4,000 shares
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Yes 12% 3,007 shares
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

No 0.3% 20,000 shares
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 30,000 shares