Down position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $879.6
- Potential payout
- $5.86K
- Potential profit
- $4.98K
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $160.32
Polymarket Trader
DancewithRisk
0xb0fcea24160139269e0af107811e33d99d6ece0b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.51K
- Realized PnL
- $16.62K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $66.67
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.23K
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- -$17.99
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $958.98
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $800.62
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $79.18
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.7%
- Current value
- $374.37
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 3.89x
- User PnL
- -$2.18
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $88.06
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $947.97
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $5.18
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $9.79
- Potential payout
- $932.75
- Potential profit
- $922.96
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
No position
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $69.58
- Potential payout
- $115
- Potential profit
- $45.43
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 15.7%
- Current value
- $11.89
- Potential payout
- $76
- Potential profit
- $64.11
- Multiplier
- 6.39x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $46.78
- Potential payout
- $47.06
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- User PnL
- $14.78
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $3.18
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.83
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.31K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76K
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.6K
No position
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $976.86
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $941.14
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $917.05
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $819.87
No position
Solana all time high before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $813.51
No position
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $721.89
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $622.88
No position
Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $589.19
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $448.1
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $375.33
No position
Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $367.7
No position
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $354.24
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $352.11
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $328
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- $219.34
No position
Pump.fun all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.12
No position
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.3
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $191
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.63
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $169.35
No position
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $156.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 1.1% 250 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 26% 50 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 25.9% 234.4 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 53% 378.72 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 54% 212.9 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Down 15% 1,443.84 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Down 14% 223.57 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 26% 57 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 3.7% 2,100 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 3.6% 55 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 1.4% 46.87 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 1.4% 125 shares