Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.05K
- Potential profit
- $3.05K
- User PnL
- -$1.2K
Polymarket Trader
0x764abe778aa96cd04972444a8e1db83df13f7e66
0xb10634fbed14d195001157bc08ca930872faaec2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $70
- Realized PnL
- -$34.45
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $791.69
- Potential profit
- $791.69
- User PnL
- -$229.59
No position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $468.75
- Potential profit
- $468.75
- User PnL
- -$337.5
Yes position
Eric Adams out as NYC mayor before 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.89
- Potential profit
- $399.89
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $337.58
- Potential profit
- $337.58
- User PnL
- -$87.77
Yes position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $70
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $32.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.11
Yes position
Eric Adams indicted in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44
Yes position
Will Tim Walz say "Weird "or "Weirdo" during the debate?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?Yes 26% 337.58 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 38.5% 2,590.16 shares
- Trump wins every swing state?No 72% 468.75 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 44.1% 442.18 shares
- Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?Yes 90% 111.11 shares
- Will Tim Walz say "Weird "or "Weirdo" during the debate?Yes 46% 108.7 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 50.8% 14.57 shares
- Eric Adams indicted in 2024?Yes 40% 7.4 shares
- Eric Adams out as NYC mayor before 2025?Yes 50% 399.89 shares