Polymarket Trader

alertpilot123

0xb10aba517eecbdec9b11884c4f5cca269ecb5b24

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $3.28K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.9%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $2.87K
Potential profit: $1.79K
Multiplier: 2.64x
User PnL: -$349.03

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 62.2%
Current value: $1.79K
Potential payout: $2.87K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $349.03

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $213.57
Potential payout: $265.31
Potential profit: $51.74
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$11.03

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199
Potential profit: $199
User PnL: -$95.91

Yes position

Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $179.91
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$77.31

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $25.29
Potential payout: $117.63
Potential profit: $92.34
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$29.3

No position

Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $72.57
Potential payout: $104.44
Potential profit: $31.86
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $1.82

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $104.21
Potential profit: $103.22
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Discord IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $32.19
Potential payout: $58
Potential profit: $25.81
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$6.12

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $21.74
Potential payout: $51.76
Potential profit: $30.02
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$17.6

Yes position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $3.18
Potential payout: $51.65
Potential profit: $48.47
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $4.1
Potential payout: $24.1
Potential profit: $20
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $10.55
Potential payout: $22.2
Potential profit: $11.66
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $1.66

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.75
Potential profit: $21.75
User PnL: -$5.22

No position

Will Bill Hill advance from the AK-AL primary election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $2.11
Potential payout: $21.09
Potential profit: $18.98
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Jonathan Majors as Kang?

Ends Dec 18, 2026

Implied probability: 11.9%
Current value: $2.45
Potential payout: $20.71
Potential profit: $18.26
Multiplier: 8.44x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $1.52
Potential payout: $20.69
Potential profit: $19.17
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $18.67
Potential profit: $17.83
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$0.28

No position

Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.56
Potential profit: $11.56
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.23
Potential payout: $10.69
Potential profit: $9.46
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.95

No position

Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.6
Potential profit: $10.6
User PnL: -$2.12

No position

Will Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $8.01
Potential payout: $10.47
Potential profit: $2.46
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $6.05
Potential profit: $6.04
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.14

No position

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $3.47
Potential payout: $6.04
Potential profit: $2.57
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $0.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?

Yes 7.2% 20.69 shares
Jonathan Majors as Kang?

Yes 9.8% 20.71 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 40% 22.2 shares
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?

Yes 24% 21.75 shares
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 1.9% 104.21 shares
Will Bill Hill advance from the AK-AL primary election?

No 11% 21.09 shares
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 20.4% 10.69 shares
Will Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

No 58% 10.47 shares
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?

Yes 13% 24.1 shares
Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?

Yes 81% 10.31 shares
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

No 67.7% 104.44 shares
Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?

Yes 81% 12.48 shares