No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $4.69K
- Potential payout
- $5.43K
- Potential profit
- $732.39
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $177.71
Polymarket Trader
easybarcodeklller
0xb11ed53eb3cd9e2caf95006b75ba5601a0ff6be6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.32K
- Realized PnL
- $3.9K
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.18
- Potential payout
- $4.37K
- Potential profit
- $4.36K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $208.79
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$10.99
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $20.3
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $139.77
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $251.2
- Potential payout
- $383.51
- Potential profit
- $132.31
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $67.2
Yes position
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $49.49
- Potential payout
- $380.73
- Potential profit
- $331.23
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$40.51
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $239
- Potential profit
- $239
- User PnL
- -$116.41
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $195.24
- Potential payout
- $206.27
- Potential profit
- $11.04
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $13.1
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.87
- Potential profit
- $20.87
- User PnL
- -$9.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $635.19
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $422.03
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.36
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $283.33
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.33
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.77
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.75
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.48
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.44
Illinois Fighting Illini position
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.16
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.41
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.93
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 48 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.51
Iowa Hawkeyes position
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-6.5)
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$83.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 70.7% 1,415.42 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 88% 1,136.36 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 91% 2,197.8 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 88% 2,272.73 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 86.2% 1,160.07 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 67.8% 2,950.22 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.3% 16,915.72 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 85% 723.53 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 93% 215.05 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 95% 1,132.63 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 71% 704.23 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?No 99.5% 250 shares