No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $22.94K
- Potential payout
- $25.35K
- Potential profit
- $2.41K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.61K
Polymarket Trader
chifangaoshou
0xb120edd3cd40c299cb4a0f388ebc21da7df7fcfd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $99.93K
- Realized PnL
- $536.27
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $22.66K
- Potential payout
- $24.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.71K
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $19.86K
- Potential payout
- $21.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $327.74
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $15.56K
- Potential payout
- $17K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $10.91K
- Potential payout
- $12.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $722.76
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $4.17K
- Potential payout
- $4.51K
- Potential profit
- $338.06
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $202.69
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $3.7K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $300
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $60
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $138.55
- Potential payout
- $139.18
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- User PnL
- $10.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $619.16
Yes position
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.5
T1 position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.55
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.12
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.33
No position
Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Anyones Legend position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2024?
Ends Nov 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50.15
Top Esports position
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$51
KT Rolster position
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$186.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 93% 461.99 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 93.5% 2,791.41 shares
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?No 90% 1,507.52 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 92.9% 5,000 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No 85% 6,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 81% 549.28 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 81% 4,785.91 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 82% 2,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 80% 4,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 80% 4,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 79% 1,739.98 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 78% 1,108.94 shares