Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $2.88K
- Potential payout
- $147.53K
- Potential profit
- $144.66K
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$1.68K
Polymarket Trader
Cherut
0xb12897c1a963e73a3e1682398c03fce18d57cf58
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12K
- Realized PnL
- $35.72K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $17.26
- Potential payout
- $34.53K
- Potential profit
- $34.51K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.59K
Yes position
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $412.5
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $24.59K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $112.5
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $4.09K
- Potential payout
- $18.65K
- Potential profit
- $14.56K
- Multiplier
- 4.56x
- User PnL
- -$901.82
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $52.01
- Potential payout
- $11.56K
- Potential profit
- $11.51K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.22K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.79K
- Potential profit
- $6.79K
- User PnL
- -$1.5K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.7K
- Potential profit
- $6.7K
- User PnL
- -$2K
Yes position
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.88K
- Potential payout
- $2.88K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $696.84
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $198.53
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$301.47
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 60.6%
- Current value
- $827.09
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $538.87
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$6.15
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $607.86
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $449.29
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $89.86
Yes position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $36
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $964
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- $11
Yes position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $45
- User PnL
- -$16.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.6K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.83K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26K
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71K
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37K
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37K
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $880.15
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $824.16
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $673.78
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $426.32
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $394.21
Yes position
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.94
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.7
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127
Yes position
Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.89
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.79
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.74
No position
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.28
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.42
Yes position
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.48
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.38
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 62.4% 101 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 62.4% 150 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 62.4% 1,682.94 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 51% 2,300 shares
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?No 89% 6.52 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No 99.9% 10,891.58 shares
- Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?Yes 75% 1,056 shares
- Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?Yes 77% 772.53 shares
- Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?Yes 75.7% 1,046.98 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 34% 1,470.59 shares
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes 12.5% 1,727.12 shares
- Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes 13.8% 1,454.98 shares