Polymarket Trader

Zzzzz13

0xb12cf5ff3aaff3135b7e083dd7e09a2d9b43d30f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $418.2
Realized PnL: $155.42
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $15.89
Potential payout: $84.75
Potential profit: $68.86
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $5.89

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.6%
Current value: $7.18
Potential payout: $75.19
Potential profit: $68.01
Multiplier: 10.47x
User PnL: -$2.82

Yes position

Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $57.93
Potential payout: $60.98
Potential profit: $3.05
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $7.93

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $54.63
Potential payout: $54.63
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $10.63

Yes position

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $8.93
Potential payout: $51.02
Potential profit: $42.09
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$16.07

Yes position

Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $13.45
Potential payout: $50.75
Potential profit: $37.3
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$21.55

Yes position

Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.2
Potential profit: $49.2
User PnL: -$17.78

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $48.78
Potential payout: $48.78
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $23.78

Yes position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $37.1
Potential payout: $45.8
Potential profit: $8.7
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $7.1

Yes position

Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $31.06
Potential payout: $41.98
Potential profit: $10.91
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $13.18
Potential payout: $39.94
Potential profit: $26.76
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $3.18

Yes position

Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $24.38
Potential payout: $38.09
Potential profit: $13.71
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $9.38

Yes position

Will there be at least 1550 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $25.64
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $22.25
Potential payout: $22.25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $8.25

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $15.9
Potential payout: $15.9
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5.9

Yes position

Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $15.74
Potential payout: $15.74
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.74

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.96
Potential profit: $14.96
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.44
Potential profit: $14.44
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $14.08
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $13.16
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.16

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $13.01
Potential payout: $13.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.14

Yes position

Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.01

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.36

No position

Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.38

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

No position

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 on February 24?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.25

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.76

USA position

Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakia

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.76

Yes position

Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.15

Yes position

Will Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.01

Up position

Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.97

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.77

Yes position

Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.67

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.48

Yes position

Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.1

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

No position

Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

Yes position

Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Down 91% 9.8 shares
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?

Yes 42.5% 49.18 shares
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Yes 69% 7.25 shares
Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Down 51% 9.8 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 91.1% 17.44 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?

No 62.9% 15.9 shares
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?

Yes 69.9% 15.74 shares
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?

Yes 64% 40 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Yes 48.5% 14.44 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Yes 76.9% 13.01 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Yes 66.8% 14.96 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 51.2% 48.78 shares