No position
GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $177.78
- Potential profit
- $177.78
- User PnL
- -$8.62
Polymarket Trader
finallywilldo
0xb14340c57f2d921a270781a24e365726d228e991
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $50.38
- Realized PnL
- $1.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $37.87
- Potential payout
- $38
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- User PnL
- $14.84
Yes position
Will Wild Horse Nine get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $4
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $3.48
Yes position
Will The Social Reckoning get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Current value
- $4.18
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.82
- Multiplier
- 4.78x
- User PnL
- $3.66
Yes position
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $2.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.05
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $2.67
Yes position
Will Project Hail Mary get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.33
- Multiplier
- 14.93x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Wuthering Heights get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.84
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Disclosure Day get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $0.56
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.45
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $87.02
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 11?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.58
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
Yes position
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.7
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.3
Yes position
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.81
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.45
Yes position
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.51
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.32
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 22?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.42
Yes position
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on March 23?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.21
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?Down 41% 100 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $108 on April 30?Yes 44% 24.1 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes 14% 65 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No 99.7% 22 shares
- DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?No 20% 39.99 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Yes 47.1% 10 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes 21% 15 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?No 58% 10 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?No 52% 10 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?No 47% 5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes 12% 30 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No 88% 20 shares