50sad

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.63
Potential payout: $750.8
Potential profit: $748.18
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will SpaceX raise at least $120B in its IPO?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $446.15
Potential profit: $446.15
User PnL: -$1.63

Yes position

Will Marada Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.57
Potential payout: $378.72
Potential profit: $378.15
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will Caleb Malhotra be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350.78
Potential profit: $350.78
User PnL: -$1.21

Yes position

Will June be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $262
Potential profit: $261.35
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.24

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $235.61
Potential profit: $235.26
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.29

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $2.89
Potential payout: $231.34
Potential profit: $228.45
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $3.02
Potential payout: $223.36
Potential profit: $220.35
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will SpaceX raise between $110B and $120B in its IPO?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $211.09
Potential profit: $211.09
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will LNG Esports win the LPL 2026 season?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $207.76
Potential profit: $207.44
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.52

No position

Will Andrei Vasilevskiy win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $184.78
Potential profit: $184.78
User PnL: -$2.48

Yes position

Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $175
Potential profit: $174.56
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Taqaddom Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $173.7
Potential profit: $173.44
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.32
Potential payout: $164.4
Potential profit: $163.08
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $3.72
Potential payout: $161.84
Potential profit: $158.12
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will Islamic Charitable Projects Association win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $161.25
Potential profit: $161.01
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will Rod Strozier win The Bachelorette Season 22?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.29
Potential payout: $160.72
Potential profit: $159.43
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $149.92
Potential profit: $149.84
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will ReLebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $132.7
Potential profit: $132.5
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Sam Altman in jail by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $131.62
Potential profit: $131.55
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $123.88
Potential profit: $123.57
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $113.35
Potential profit: $112.67
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$3.32

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $49-$56 in June?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $113.17
Potential profit: $112.77
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.27
Potential profit: $108.27
User PnL: -$0.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $20.78

Yes position

Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $11.19

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $5.63

Yes position

Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $5.55

No position

Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32

Yes position

Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $4.45

Yes position

Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 8.2%
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: $3.81

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 7.7%
Multiplier: 13.07x
User PnL: $3.61

Yes position

Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $3.09

Yes position

Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Implied probability: 23.5%
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $2.92

No position

Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $2.83

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.87

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $1.57

Yes position

Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.47

Yes position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 4.2%
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $1.25

No position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the June meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Will an independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?