Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $500
- Potential payout
- $4.76K
- Potential profit
- $4.26K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $200
Polymarket Trader
0xb14f...d825
0xb14f926d8dbf0c2ad56decea2a6358ac24d9d825
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.12K
- Realized PnL
- $11.52K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $97.22
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $458.33
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.78
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $246.67
- Potential payout
- $444.44
- Potential profit
- $197.78
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $46.67
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $226.18
- Potential payout
- $226.18
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $76.18
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $45.14
- Potential payout
- $69.44
- Potential profit
- $24.31
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- -$4.86
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the GA-14 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.1
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.45K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33K
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $982.74
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $320.79
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.27
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.78
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.61
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.84
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.08
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.1
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.58
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.51
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.77
Michigan Wolverines position
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.66
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.97
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.92
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$133.29
No position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$250
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$600
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No 72% 69.44 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 18% 555.56 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?Yes 65% 30.77 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 45% 444.44 shares
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers 37% 270.27 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes 67.1% 2,982.74 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 6.3% 4,761.9 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?Yes 3% 3,332.28 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No 70% 7,498.69 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No 54.2% 1,137.75 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No 50.5% 593.55 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 72% 138.89 shares