Polymarket Trader

0xb157398924905D1a0DdB6F370A9cf903716B3365-1721351580848

0xb157398924905d1a0ddb6f370a9cf903716b3365

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $45.73
Realized PnL: $239.77
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get 52 million or more views on day 5?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will "Hoppers" score at least 99 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $45.73
Potential payout: $703.47
Potential profit: $657.74
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$104.27

Yes position

Will the match end in a draw?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $302.4
Potential profit: $302.4
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $281.27
Potential profit: $281.27
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.27
Potential profit: $270.27
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Clavicular get frame mogged by Gorlock the Destroyer on stream during Mog World Order?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Khamenei tweet again by March 10?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$45

No position

Will Khamenei tweet again by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$73

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 17-23?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Migrant Crime" in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.9
Potential profit: $95.9
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will England win?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.66
Potential profit: $69.66
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will "People" be said 100+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (February 22)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.42
Potential profit: $39.42
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 5+ times in Rome, GA on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump say "Minnesota" this week? (February 1)

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "Hoppers" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.73

No position

ChatGPT Outage by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $80.46

Yes position

Will Italy win?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.47

Yes position

Will Trump say "Water" this week? (February 22)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.58

No position

Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $15.73

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.71

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get 51.0 million or more views on day 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will "Hoppers" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$71.91

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 62% 38.71 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Yes 0.9% 2,781.29 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Yes 3.5% 2,781.29 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Yes 1.8% 281.27 shares
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Yes 23% 43.48 shares
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Yes 6.2% 322.74 shares
Will Clavicular get frame mogged by Gorlock the Destroyer on stream during Mog World Order?

Yes 40% 250 shares
Will Italy win?

Yes 99.9% 104 shares
Will Italy win?

Yes 39.1% 101.86 shares
Will England win?

Yes 55.2% 69.65 shares
Will Italy win?

Yes 39% 2.56 shares
Will the match end in a draw?

Yes 3.3% 302.4 shares