Polymarket Trader

musicworm

0xb1615ea2a36c1edd4a3b67ce9fd7e8aa6d9c9132

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.87K
Realized PnL: $2.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $2.81K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $187.5
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$10.5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: $0

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: $0

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $370.56
Potential profit: $370.56
User PnL: -$266.54

No position

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $367.11
Potential profit: $367.11
User PnL: -$21.7

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $349.76
Potential profit: $349.76
User PnL: -$319.28

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$34

No position

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $62
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $138
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$52

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$12

No position

Chirayu Rana sued?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$104

Yes position

Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194.99
Potential profit: $194.99
User PnL: -$99.45

Ognjen Milic position

Jiujiang: Ognjen Milic vs Fajing Sun

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.98
Potential profit: $149.98
User PnL: -$11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.57
Potential profit: $140.57
User PnL: -$124.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3AM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$5

Under position

Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.62
Potential profit: $118.62
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.4
Potential profit: $116.4
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.11
Potential profit: $116.11
User PnL: -$109.9

Yes position

Will FC Anyang vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.27
Potential profit: $104.27
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 Paraguay?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$40

Veronika Erjavec position

Oeiras 3: Veronika Erjavec vs Rebecca Sramkova

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Tennessee Volunteers position

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $490

No position

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.01

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.2

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.21

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.93

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Warriors

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Yes position

Will Como 1907 vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.96

3DMAX position

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.51

Kings position

Warriors vs. Kings

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

Spurs position

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53

Ann Li position

Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Daria Kasatkina vs Ann Li

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

Andrey Rublev position

Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

Under position

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

Lavked position

Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Hashiras (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Algeria (-1.5)

Algeria 38% 100 shares
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5

Under 89.9% 44.49 shares
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Yes 8% 100 shares
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Yes 20% 100 shares
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Yes 21% 100 shares
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Yes 22% 100 shares
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Yes 12% 100 shares
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Yes 30% 100 shares
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5

Under 51% 100 shares
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5

Under 49% 11.84 shares
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?

Yes 31% 200 shares
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5

Under 64% 100 shares