Polymarket Trader

rago

0xb16373f900798ad6e26a169341c68c0d710e6062

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $623.98
Realized PnL: $1.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

New Zealand leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $417.53
Potential profit: $417.53
User PnL: -$41.2

No position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$63

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $232.98
Potential payout: $264.75
Potential profit: $31.77
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $10.69

No position

Lionel Messi: 3+ goals

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $193.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $6.3
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $7.81

Yes position

Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $197.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $2.7
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $23.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.17
Potential profit: $47.17
User PnL: -$25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon tweet between 220 and 239 times September 5–12?

Ends Sep 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.16

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.64

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.87

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 21-28?

Ends Mar 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $104.99

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30 million views on day 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.67

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.41

No position

Will XRP dip to $1.90 in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.14

No position

Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 1-7?

Ends Apr 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76

No position

Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.23

No position

Will XRP dip to $1.50 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.86

No position

Will Elon tweet between 240 and 259 times September 5–12?

Ends Sep 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.49

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.25

Yes position

MicroStrategy purchases >4000 BTC September 2-8?

Ends Sep 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40 million views on day 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.48

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get 110 million or more views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.67

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.6

No position

Will Eric Adams drop out by September 15?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.02

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.46

No position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $35.37

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: June

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $83000 and $85000 on Mar 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9AM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.77

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45m views on day 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

No 83.6% 25 shares
Lionel Messi: 3+ goals

No 92.9% 200 shares
New Zealand leading at halftime?

Yes 10% 20 shares
New Zealand leading at halftime?

Yes 9.9% 397.53 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

No 83% 315.66 shares
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

No 89% 78.65 shares
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

No 88.9% 90.9 shares
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 98.8% 155.98 shares
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 23-29?

Yes 30% 1.02 shares
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 21% 300 shares
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 76% 300 shares
Will Argentina go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

No 6% 109.45 shares