Polymarket Trader

LeoMusk

@caicai71803272

0xb163b6072daee2706591ef15947771cff7463d0e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.15K
Realized PnL: $3.52K
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.15K
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $0.58
User PnL: $137.42

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $680
Potential profit: $680
User PnL: -$149.6

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $470
Potential profit: $470
User PnL: -$150.4

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$96.5

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 14?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133
Potential profit: $133
User PnL: -$1.33

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5.3

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $59.99
User PnL: -$1.56

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$29

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.99
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$23

Over position

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5.2

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$7.54

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Turkey position

Austria vs. Turkey - Who will advance?

Ends Jul 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

France position

Portugal vs. France - Who will advance?

Ends Jul 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $724.14

Yes position

Will France win?

Ends Jul 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $525.61

Yes position

Will England win?

Ends Jul 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $510.81

England position

England vs. Switzerland - Who will advance?

Ends Jul 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.67

Yes position

Will the Netherlands win?

Ends Jul 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.77

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.7

No position

Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $37.21

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-20?

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.69

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will Man City win the Premier League?

Ends May 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-08?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Tether Insolvent in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Republican position

Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 4-10?

Ends Feb 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Over position

England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 88% 1,150 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 92% 6,346.26 shares
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)

Morocco 43% 780 shares
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)

Morocco 48% 780 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 57% 880 shares
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5

Over 76% 270 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 61% 500 shares
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5

Over 64% 25 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 22% 680 shares
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Yes 32% 470 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 76% 660 shares
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5

Over 69% 8 shares