Yes position
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Polymarket Trader
josephinera
0xb1696068d30c5b2c67f056570fa7c24307e22809
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $85.14
- Realized PnL
- $29.46
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.25
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $7.3
- Potential payout
- $111.43
- Potential profit
- $104.13
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- $6.04
Yes position
Will Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $70.39
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.6%
- Current value
- $24.62
- Potential payout
- $63.85
- Potential profit
- $39.24
- Multiplier
- 2.59x
- User PnL
- $20.42
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.41
- Potential profit
- $60.41
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Rom Reddy win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.1
- Potential profit
- $46.1
- User PnL
- -$6.77
No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.5
- Potential profit
- $40.5
- User PnL
- -$9.7
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.38
- Potential profit
- $40.38
- User PnL
- -$5.25
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $3.6
- Potential payout
- $37.88
- Potential profit
- $34.28
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$5.43
Yes position
Will any other model have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.1
- Potential profit
- $26.1
- User PnL
- -$3.93
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $17.37
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $6.45
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $8.55
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $14.97
- Potential profit
- $14.34
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$4.9
No position
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $9.45
- Potential payout
- $13.79
- Potential profit
- $4.34
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $1.48
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $5.26
- Potential payout
- $12.08
- Potential profit
- $6.83
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.28
- Potential profit
- $11.28
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Yes position
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.7%
- Current value
- $3.8
- Potential payout
- $10.94
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- Multiplier
- 2.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $9.76
- Potential profit
- $9.66
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $7.88
- Potential payout
- $9.44
- Potential profit
- $1.56
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $6.74
- Potential payout
- $9.29
- Potential profit
- $2.56
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $6.47
- Potential payout
- $8.63
- Potential profit
- $2.16
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $0.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.9
No position
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $4.4
Yes position
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
N
No position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Sam Bregman win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Over position
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?Yes 2.3% 11.43 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?No 14% 5 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?No 38% 5 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No 74% 5 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.8% 35.71 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.8% 35.71 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes 35.9% 3.48 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No 69% 5 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 73% 3.38 shares
- Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?Yes 15% 15 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 73% 5 shares
- Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?Yes 26% 5 shares