Yes position
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $33.62
- Potential payout
- $505.56
- Potential profit
- $471.94
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- $14.61
Polymarket Trader
Wettsucht
0xb17a2114f1ec26a63fa56aefe88c6c7c737fb7a0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $57.07
- Realized PnL
- $22.84
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $4.9
- Potential payout
- $95.18
- Potential profit
- $90.28
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$5.57
No position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $14.18
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $30.83
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$10.82
No position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $4.38
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $20.63
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$5.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
No position
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $3.37
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.38
No position
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $2.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
US position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Yes position
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?No 11% 95.18 shares
- Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?No 77% 13.46 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 0.5% 19.99 shares
- OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?Yes 4.9% 96.94 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 16.6% 28.67 shares
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?No 57% 8.77 shares
- Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?No 52% 13.46 shares
- OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?Yes 4.5% 94.67 shares
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?No 40% 25 shares
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?No 55.2% 36.23 shares
- OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?Yes 3.2% 313.96 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes 59% 10 shares