No position
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $485.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $14.75
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$2.43
Polymarket Trader
Collision39
0xb17aa3dbd9db84ebcbb27b848bb96e3168d40f66
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $758.89
- Realized PnL
- $25.17
- Win rate
- 93.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $27.6
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $2.4
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $27.45
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $2.55
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $14.85
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $15.15
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.4%
- Current value
- $3.42
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $26.57
- Multiplier
- 8.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.8%
- Current value
- $21.45
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $3.55
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $24.99
- Potential profit
- $24.78
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $18.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $18.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $18.77
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.23
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
Ends Oct 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $19.63
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.03
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.9
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $8.18
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $6.82
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $14.03
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.7%
- Current value
- $13.15
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $1.85
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $9.67
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $8.55
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.45
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $9.63
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $9.61
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $9.35
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $9.86
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.34
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Y
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?No 97.5% 100 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?No 97.5% 100 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?No 97.5% 50 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes 43% 1.86 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?No 97.5% 30 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?No 97.5% 50 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?No 97.5% 10 shares
- Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes 98% 10 shares
- Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?No 53% 5.85 shares
- Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?Yes 95.5% 18.1 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 81% 20 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 89% 20 shares