Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.95K
- Potential profit
- $7.95K
- User PnL
- -$34.37
Polymarket Trader
Mithrandir.
0xb17d4706e45bf0935acc338162bd40af837e59ae
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.57K
- Realized PnL
- $9.61K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $6.42K
- Potential profit
- $5.23K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $156.4
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $2.75K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $255
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $105
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $2.4K
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $3.6
- User PnL
- $63.9
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.66K
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $11.69
- User PnL
- $41.77
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.6K
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- User PnL
- $147.81
No position
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$181.99
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $93.6
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- Multiplier
- 12.82x
- User PnL
- $57.6
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$544.94
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $102.6
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $45.45
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$890.99
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $52.69
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 20.83x
- User PnL
- -$3.76
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$338.64
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $999.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $119.9
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $837.89
- Potential profit
- $837.89
- User PnL
- -$386.78
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $799.6
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- User PnL
- $35.6
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $554.7
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $45.3
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $471
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $129
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$53
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $597.9
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- User PnL
- $13.9
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $574.59
- Potential payout
- $598.21
- Potential profit
- $23.63
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $147.89
No position
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$93
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $44.1
- Potential payout
- $420
- Potential profit
- $375.9
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$135.3
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $396.63
- Potential payout
- $402.47
- Potential profit
- $5.84
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $42.91
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $362
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $38
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67K
No position
Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $767.61
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $575.55
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $476.64
Yes position
Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Score
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $444.04
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $403.2
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $370.45
Yes position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.96
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $191.51
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.2
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.87
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $140
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.17
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125
No position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.41
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $98.24
No position
Will "Reminders of Him" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.72
No position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.11
Yes position
Will "Forbidden Fruits" score at least 76 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 17% 500 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 16% 915.7 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?Yes 64.5% 200 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Yes 67.5% 600 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 6% 500 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Yes 65.3% 600 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?Yes 69.3% 96.89 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Yes 75% 400 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?Yes 49.4% 68.51 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 94.5% 200 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 16% 4,000 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 15.9% 1,000 shares