Polymarket Trader

jordankallman

0xb196a94238e5b81b85bfd478364e9e78b8f99926

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $100.92
Realized PnL: $520.92
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $22.18
Potential payout: $3.41K
Potential profit: $3.39K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$22.82

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $388.56
Potential profit: $388.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $20.17
Potential payout: $366.68
Potential profit: $346.51
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$12.83

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $363.64
Potential profit: $363.64
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $291.67
Potential profit: $291.67
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $11.85
Potential payout: $202.63
Potential profit: $190.78
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $6.85

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.16
Potential profit: $187.16
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.41
Potential profit: $172.41
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $168.82
Potential profit: $168.82
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.74
Potential profit: $156.74
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.58
Potential profit: $131.58
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.6%
Current value: $46.73
Potential payout: $121.21
Potential profit: $74.48
Multiplier: 2.59x
User PnL: $26.73

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.06
Potential profit: $116.06
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $108.7
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $100.01
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.71
Potential profit: $85.71
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.55
Potential profit: $67.55
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.82

Yes position

Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.83

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.68

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.77

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.16

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.02

Flyers position

Predators vs. Flyers

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.39

Hurricanes position

Islanders vs. Hurricanes

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

Yes position

Will Base launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.05

Yes position

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.56

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$45.39

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$48.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.5% 202.63 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.1% 161.29 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.8% 131.58 shares
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.9% 1,606.08 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.3% 187.16 shares
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.8% 277.78 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.5% 121.21 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 227.27 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.5% 363.64 shares
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.8% 277.78 shares
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.6% 1,250 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 69.4% 30 shares