Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $91.67
- Potential payout
- $269.61
- Potential profit
- $177.94
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$108.33
Polymarket Trader
0xb19b...c4f7
0xb19b5f852f954f59b098c3964e3abd58aad3c4f7
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $479.73
- Realized PnL
- $348.96
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $239.65
- Potential payout
- $241.95
- Potential profit
- $2.3
- User PnL
- $41.15
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $33.25
- Potential payout
- $175.44
- Potential profit
- $142.19
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- $3.25
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $161.04
- Potential profit
- $161.04
- User PnL
- -$132.06
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $91.03
- Potential payout
- $91.03
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $51.59
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.69
- Potential profit
- $57.69
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.53
- Potential profit
- $39.53
- User PnL
- -$6.72
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $24.14
- Potential payout
- $24.14
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $10.14
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.47
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.21
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.07
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.89
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.64
Yes position
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.38
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.58
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.57
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.72
Yes position
Will Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.51
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 82% 241.95 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 74.2% 269.61 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.1% 175.44 shares
- Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 58% 6.9 shares
- Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 58% 17.24 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No 95% 431.58 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 32% 31.25 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?Yes 26% 57.69 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?Yes 42% 30.79 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?Yes 44% 60.24 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?Yes 40% 7.51 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No 95.7% 179.31 shares