Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
duref
0xb19c8578b12f044c5ad6ef7144bbea3f71af2467
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $999.37
- Realized PnL
- -$77.3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.58K
- Potential profit
- $39.58K
- User PnL
- -$79.15
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33K
- Potential profit
- $33.33K
- User PnL
- -$99.97
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33K
- Potential profit
- $33.33K
- User PnL
- -$99.97
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $155.41
- Potential payout
- $28.26K
- Potential profit
- $28.1K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$53.52
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $267.15
- Potential payout
- $7.03K
- Potential profit
- $6.76K
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$356.76
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.45
- Potential payout
- $6.9K
- Potential profit
- $6.9K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$12.6
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.69K
- Potential profit
- $6.69K
- User PnL
- -$25.96
Yes position
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.91K
- Potential profit
- $5.91K
- User PnL
- -$69.98
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.1%
- Current value
- $527.8
- Potential payout
- $2.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 3.83x
- User PnL
- $473.2
No position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $17.97
- Potential payout
- $677.98
- Potential profit
- $660.01
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$12.34
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $611.43
- Potential profit
- $611.43
- User PnL
- -$6.41
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $16.51
- Potential payout
- $579.46
- Potential profit
- $562.94
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$33.49
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $530
- Potential profit
- $530
- User PnL
- -$5.17
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2.65
- Potential payout
- $481.9
- Potential profit
- $479.25
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$4.75
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $371.34
- Potential profit
- $371.34
- User PnL
- -$1.86
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $336.69
- Potential profit
- $336.69
- User PnL
- -$4.19
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $293
- Potential profit
- $293
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $8.42
- Potential payout
- $259.14
- Potential profit
- $250.72
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $232.07
- Potential profit
- $232.07
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $218.8
- Potential profit
- $218.8
- User PnL
- -$7.9
Yes position
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.8
- Potential profit
- $200.8
- User PnL
- -$12.58
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $168.87
- Potential profit
- $168.87
- User PnL
- -$1.86
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $154.74
- Potential profit
- $154.74
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $20.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.89
No position
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$86.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes 0.3% 633.84 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes 0.2% 50 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes 0.1% 1,460 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?No 4% 170.75 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?No 3.9% 149 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?No 3.8% 174 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes 3.6% 221.03 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes 3.5% 25 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes 2.8% 0.21 shares