Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $6.3
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $38.7
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Polymarket Trader
0xb1b1...bf17
0xb1b18cc32d8c271e8a3d058a0b95b4b001f3bf17
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $68.15
- Realized PnL
- $9.01
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $6.56
- Potential payout
- $37.5
- Potential profit
- $30.94
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.44
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $7.67
- Potential payout
- $16.5
- Potential profit
- $8.83
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $7.26
- Potential payout
- $13.19
- Potential profit
- $5.94
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.71
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $6.32
- Potential payout
- $11.39
- Potential profit
- $5.07
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $5.33
- Potential payout
- $10.25
- Potential profit
- $4.92
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $4.27
- Potential payout
- $9.17
- Potential profit
- $4.91
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $3.83
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $5.18
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $3.42
- Potential payout
- $8.15
- Potential profit
- $4.73
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $6.47
- Potential payout
- $6.59
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.53
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $6.26
- Potential profit
- $1.22
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $2.17
- Potential payout
- $3.25
- Potential profit
- $1.07
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $1.74
- Potential payout
- $3.05
- Potential profit
- $1.31
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $1.77
- Potential payout
- $3.05
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 Week of June 22 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.99
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
No position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 42.2% 8.15 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 52% 9.17 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes 75% 6.59 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?No 68% 13.19 shares
- Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of July 6 2026?No 61% 3.25 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?No 66% 13.2 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No 58% 3.05 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 Week of June 22 2026?Yes 37% 7.92 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?No 74% 6.81 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes 77% 6.26 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes 46% 16.5 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes 24% 37.5 shares