Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $80.5
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $269.5
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$63
Polymarket Trader
bauzi
0xb1b49be1be4debce02397c1d721b223d92165353
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $80.5
- Realized PnL
- $88.82
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.82
Yes position
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?No 67.9% 255 shares
- Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Yes 41% 30 shares
- Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?No 72% 5,500 shares
- Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?Yes 75% 5,300 shares
- Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No 71.8% 510 shares