Y
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $7.17
- Potential payout
- $7.41
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Polymarket Trader
0xB1bC349A155defDb0ed58B82a6BC4883423471b3-1773931285910
0xb1bc349a155defdb0ed58b82a6bc4883423471b3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.17
- Realized PnL
- $358.64
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.53
- Potential profit
- $5.53
- User PnL
- -$3.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.38
- Potential profit
- $5.38
- User PnL
- -$3.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.38
- Potential profit
- $5.38
- User PnL
- -$3.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.21
- Potential profit
- $5.21
- User PnL
- -$3.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.85
- Potential profit
- $4.85
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.85
- Potential profit
- $4.85
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.75
- Potential profit
- $4.75
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- User PnL
- -$2.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.28
- Potential profit
- $4.28
- User PnL
- -$3.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.25
- Potential profit
- $4.25
- User PnL
- -$2.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.06
- Potential profit
- $4.06
- User PnL
- -$2.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.97
- Potential profit
- $3.97
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.96
- Potential profit
- $3.96
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.94
- Potential profit
- $3.94
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.92
- Potential profit
- $3.92
- User PnL
- -$1.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.9
- Potential profit
- $3.9
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.86
- Potential profit
- $3.86
- User PnL
- -$1.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.86
- Potential profit
- $3.86
- User PnL
- -$1.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.83
- Potential profit
- $3.83
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.92
Yes position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.58
Yes position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes 35% 6.6 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes 36% 32.66 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes 76% 5 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?Yes 99.1% 3.62 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 21% 9.21 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 52% 19.27 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETDown 58% 5.38 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETDown 58% 5.38 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETUp 63% 4.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETDown 59% 4.75 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETUp 55% 5.53 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETDown 66% 5.21 shares