Polymarket Trader

0xb1be...6503

0xb1be62c8c0e1edcc7429d64083077ed7a66d6503

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: -$110.58
Win rate: 8.3%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Latest Resolved Positions

No open position details returned

This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23%
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 42.5%
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.6%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 19.9%
Multiplier: 5.03x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.6%
Multiplier: 8.66x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$0.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23%
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 42.5%
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.6%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 19.9%
Multiplier: 5.03x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.6%
Multiplier: 8.66x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 38.5%
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$2.02

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 44.5%
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$2.12

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$2.17

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 33.5%
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$2.78

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 45%
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: -$3.11

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 37.5%
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$3.39

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 22.5%
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$4.08

Yes position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.7%
Multiplier: 13.07x
User PnL: -$4.4

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 28.5%
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$5.29

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 15.5%
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$5.84

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 23.5%
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$6.89

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Multiplier: 8.93x
User PnL: -$7.36

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$7.91

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$10.7

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 21.5%
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$11.4

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 21.5%
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$13.43

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$13.68

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Yes 23% 388.2 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 11% 790.58 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 39.5% 240 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 18.8% 503.59 shares
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 11.3% 702.38 shares
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 3.9% 1,815.95 shares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 74% 129.28 shares
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 3.2% 2,248.16 shares
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 2.3% 3,120.75 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 22.9% 421.44 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 41.5% 232.66 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes 6.5% 1,352.02 shares