Polymarket Trader

0xb1BF3dA51cc771F6d9B4e1866E0c65f1A6d1ab1B-1783196042026

0xb1bf3da51cc771f6d9b4e1866e0c65f1a6d1ab1b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.3
Realized PnL: -$1.5
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $4.6
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.4
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.7
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Norway?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $8.06
Potential profit: $7.05
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $0.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $3.43
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.58
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $0.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.1%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $2.74
Potential profit: $1.81
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.01
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 England?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $1.11
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 88.4%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $1.07
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.07
Potential profit: $1.07
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1.06
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.03
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 0 France?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Norway?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 7?

Yes 21% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 7?

Yes 13% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 7?

No 67% 5 shares
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Norway?

Yes 10% 10 shares
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?

Yes 13% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Up 42% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Down 11% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Up 91% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Down 61% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Down 51% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Down 35% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Down 43% 5 shares