hard

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $40.01
Potential profit: $39.87
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Scotland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.46
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $38.88
Potential profit: $38.26
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $30.52
Potential profit: $30.47
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.95
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Hasan Piker arrested by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $28.24
Potential profit: $28.1
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$1.72

Yes position

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $20.01
Potential profit: $19.52
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $20.01
Potential profit: $19.39
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $20.01
Potential profit: $19.94
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $20.01
Potential profit: $19.53
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $20.01
Potential profit: $19.9
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $20.01
Potential profit: $19.48
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $20.01
Potential profit: $19.65
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $20.01
Potential profit: $19.86
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $20.01
Potential profit: $19.01
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $20.01
Potential profit: $19.98
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $20.01
Potential profit: $19.92
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.95
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.68
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$1.42

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.77
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.34
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.94
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.37
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$1.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.65

Yes position

President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.15

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.66

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.61

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.58

Yes position

Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.4

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.16

Yes position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Implied probability: 5.2%
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: $2.08

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: $1.84

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.77

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73

Yes position

Liverpool wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61

Yes position

Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.53

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.9%
Multiplier: 6.73x
User PnL: $1.41

Yes position

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.16

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: $1.15

San Francisco Unicorns position

Major League Cricket: San Francisco Unicorns vs Texas Super Kings

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $1.07

Yes position

Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?