Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $8.77
- Potential payout
- $163.93
- Potential profit
- $155.16
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Polymarket Trader
gerhard0
0xb1eddf2fc84a90e8a226d0b1010ac1d8eefbac9c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $78.67
- Realized PnL
- $175.93
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $7.69
- Potential payout
- $149.25
- Potential profit
- $141.57
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$2.31
Yes position
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $122.8
- Potential profit
- $122.8
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.7%
- Current value
- $15.1
- Potential payout
- $103.09
- Potential profit
- $87.99
- Multiplier
- 6.83x
- User PnL
- $5.1
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.2%
- Current value
- $7.62
- Potential payout
- $93.46
- Potential profit
- $85.84
- Multiplier
- 12.27x
- User PnL
- -$2.38
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.9%
- Current value
- $10.05
- Potential payout
- $92.59
- Potential profit
- $82.55
- Multiplier
- 9.22x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $9.75
- Potential payout
- $70.42
- Potential profit
- $60.67
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.2%
- Current value
- $9.92
- Potential payout
- $51.81
- Potential profit
- $41.89
- Multiplier
- 5.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.16
- Potential profit
- $29.16
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.42
- Potential profit
- $19.42
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $9.77
- Potential payout
- $14.91
- Potential profit
- $5.15
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.2
No position
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.07
No position
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.8
No position
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.34
No position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.19
No position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.87
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.78
No position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.67
No position
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.62
No position
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.57
No position
Evo Morales arrested by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.74
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.6
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.73
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.65
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
No position
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.29
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.83
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.57
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes 67% 14.91 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 98.2% 21.97 shares
- Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 28% 35.73 shares
- Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 34.3% 29.16 shares
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 51.5% 19.42 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.3% 51.81 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 14.2% 70.42 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.8% 92.59 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.7% 149.25 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.1% 163.93 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.7% 103.09 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.7% 93.46 shares