No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.8%
- Current value
- $2.84K
- Potential payout
- $3.51K
- Potential profit
- $676.05
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$15.8
Polymarket Trader
ledgerek
@DawidM4
0xb1fb7d4b707107b8686bcab05bc9c3cff837d6d8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.08K
- Realized PnL
- $1.62K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$1.16K
Yes position
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.74K
- Potential profit
- $2.74K
- User PnL
- -$10.95
Yes position
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $74.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $925.5
- Multiplier
- 13.42x
- User PnL
- $37.5
Yes position
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $989.5
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $27.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $972.5
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $15.5
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $984.49
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $49.5
- Potential payout
- $999.97
- Potential profit
- $950.47
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $18.5
Yes position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $18.55
- Potential payout
- $699.98
- Potential profit
- $681.43
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$11.25
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $39.75
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $460.24
- Multiplier
- 12.58x
- User PnL
- $10.75
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $449.58
- Potential profit
- $449.58
- User PnL
- -$256.56
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $252.59
- Potential profit
- $252.59
- User PnL
- -$1.26
Yes position
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $9.35
- Potential payout
- $192.72
- Potential profit
- $183.37
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- $6.68
Yes position
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $313.5
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240
No position
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135
No position
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.5
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98
Yes position
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.39
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12PM ET
Ends Oct 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11AM ET
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $46.97
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.4
No position
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31
Yes position
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.3
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.8
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.4
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.41
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.9%
- Multiplier
- 2.39x
- User PnL
- $17.5
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.8
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 38.7% 3,000 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 33% 350 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.1% 719.43 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 34.8% 300 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 35.2% 400 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 35% 1,800 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 84.3% 500 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.8% 2,385 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.1% 178 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12.6% 2,385 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.9% 178 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 81.5% 2,682.96 shares