Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $10.49K
- Potential payout
- $85.61K
- Potential profit
- $75.13K
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$5.51K
Polymarket Trader
Noluckniga
0xb1fd5ef61c21060618b845a12e85359e4dbd5184
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.49K
- Realized PnL
- $7.79K
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $838.89
- Potential profit
- $838.89
- User PnL
- -$385.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.42K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $532.83
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.54
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.72
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 18.2% 31,321.64 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 19% 54,291.4 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No 3% 65,718.59 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No 35% 363.61 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 44.8% 40,231.47 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No 31% 363.61 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 57.7% 100 shares
- Will another country strike Iran by March 7?Yes 55% 100 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 43.5% 40,231.48 shares
- Will another country strike Iran by March 7?Yes 48% 100 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 48% 100 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?Yes 99.9% 11,979.43 shares