Polymarket Trader

eugenewp

0xb1fe11e1c4172c159b1baf88c29d6f04b240467f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $92.14
Realized PnL: $228.45
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Rico position

Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $90
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $110
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Is Earth flat?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.95
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$19.98

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.91
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$0.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.4

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.5

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.25

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.48

No position

Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.53

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.39

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.22

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $2

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.1

No position

Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.27

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.1

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?

Yes 6.1% 20 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?

Yes 87.8% 93 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Yes 3.5% 105.26 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Yes 19% 105.26 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 43% 200 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.6% 1,666.67 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 21% 20 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 51% 200 shares
Is Earth flat?

Yes 3% 100 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

No 51% 5 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 89% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Up 73% 2.74 shares