Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57
- Potential profit
- $57
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Polymarket Trader
olivermoon
0xb208a582ee099fc33c6798e392aa41327522680f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.88
- Realized PnL
- $26.06
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52
- Potential profit
- $52
- User PnL
- -$2.13
Yes position
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $45
- User PnL
- -$2.34
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $43
- Potential profit
- $42.12
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $19
- User PnL
- -$17.94
No position
Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 29, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.47
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Iran strike Italy by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 3.9% 43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 23?No 95.3% 36 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?No 94.4% 19 shares
- Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?No 91.9% 15 shares
- Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes 5.2% 45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on May 15?Yes 2.1% 57 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 14?No 96.7% 23 shares
- Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?No 98.1% 64 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?No 94.8% 20 shares
- Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No 98.4% 8 shares
- Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No 98.1% 56 shares
- Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No 98.2% 64 shares