Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C or higher on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0xb20a4Cd5b60d578256BFAC72e1A7184b35513EfE-1779175900886
0xb20a4cd5b60d578256bfac72e1a7184b35513efe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.03
- Realized PnL
- $3.53
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $53.69
- Potential profit
- $52.7
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $36.78
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $7.72
- Potential payout
- $28.07
- Potential profit
- $20.35
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$2.28
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.14
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.57
- Multiplier
- 23.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $6.43
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Paraguay vs France FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $2.39
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $2.87
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $1.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $2.53
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Paraguay vs France FIFA World Cup Match?No 19% 5.26 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 1.1% 333.33 shares
- Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 69% 2.9 shares
- Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?No 40% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C or higher on July 4?Yes 0.5% 200 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 6% 16.67 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 2.7% 37.04 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?No 14% 7.14 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Yes 1.9% 53.69 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?No 35.6% 28.07 shares