Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $10.67K
- Potential payout
- $10.97K
- Potential profit
- $301.71
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $176.66
Polymarket Trader
lordedward
0xb20ac3fbbe4f24a70186f498ebe70e232ffed09d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.67K
- Realized PnL
- $18.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $118K August 4–10?
Ends Aug 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.67K
- Potential profit
- $8.67K
- User PnL
- -$5.9K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.6K
- Potential profit
- $3.6K
- User PnL
- -$2.84K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $116k August 11–17?
Ends Aug 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $2.56K
- User PnL
- -$2.34K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
Bitcoin above $114,000 on August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $119K on August 14 at 5PM ET?
Ends Aug 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $916.46
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on August 13?
Ends Aug 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $845.66
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3800 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $826.84
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4400 August 4–10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $781.53
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $697.57
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $687.47
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $648.88
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $624.03
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $533.21
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $531.68
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $526.13
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $112K August 4–10?
Ends Aug 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $518.3
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $507.73
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $482.18
No position
Solana above $190 on August 11?
Ends Aug 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $464.5
Yes position
Ethereum above $4200 on August 11?
Ends Aug 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.37
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $453.9
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $451.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 96.1% 573 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 94.2% 3,508.95 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 95.5% 50 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 96.5% 287.5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 95.9% 2,495.94 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 94% 4.99 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 94% 4.99 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 94% 4.99 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 94% 394 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 95.3% 15 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No 99.9% 1,500 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No 99.9% 1,000 shares