No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $495.43
- Potential payout
- $702.74
- Potential profit
- $207.31
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $144.2
Polymarket Trader
jaedung
0xb20d26cc96515f773073dd270aab7e12bcb4db55
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $981.68
- Realized PnL
- $43.2K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $486.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $13.75
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $278.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.05K
Yes position
Will another person be next National Security Advisor?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.51K
Yes position
Will the SPX opening price on January 5 be between 6,858.47 and 6,927.05?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.35K
No position
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36K
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97K
Yes position
Will Stephen Miller be next National Security Advisor?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.45K
Yes position
Will I'm The Problem by Morgan Wallen be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January 17?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18K
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
No position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Will 3 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Jazz position
Jazz vs. Cavaliers
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $850
Yes position
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $788.47
No position
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $723.1
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $718.55
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $568.55
No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $506.01
No position
Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480
Yes position
Will Michael Flynn be next National Security Advisor?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $446.55
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $372.38
No position
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $312.9
Yes position
New 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will US or Israel strike Iran first?US 35.9% 4,876.93 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran first?US 20.8% 12,483.86 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran first?US 49.5% 18,204.89 shares
- Will Trump say "Powell" or "Too Late" during the State of the Union address?Yes 36.1% 448 shares
- Will Trump say "Too Late" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No 63.4% 448 shares
- Will Trump say "America" or "American" first during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes 86% 100 shares
- Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes 99% 200 shares
- Will Moonshot have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes 0.1% 175.59 shares
- Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?No 84% 593.6 shares
- Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes 97% 34 shares
- Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes 97% 21 shares
- Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes 97% 33 shares