No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $19.98
- Potential payout
- $20.45
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Polymarket Trader
vwzz51qa
0xb2214292debe3ff4808852a20d610fdbaa26f46d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $87.25
- Realized PnL
- $153.01
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $12.35
- Potential profit
- $11.42
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$9.07
No position
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $11.47
- Potential payout
- $11.58
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $11.24
- Potential profit
- $11.23
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.99
No position
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.6%
- Current value
- $10.19
- Potential payout
- $11.01
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.38
- Potential payout
- $10.38
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $10.15
- Potential payout
- $10.24
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $10.17
- Potential payout
- $10.21
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.59
- Potential profit
- $9.59
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.51
- Potential profit
- $8.51
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $4.04
- Potential payout
- $8.16
- Potential profit
- $4.12
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.42
- Potential profit
- $6.42
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.36
- Potential profit
- $6.36
- User PnL
- -$6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.31
- Potential profit
- $5.31
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133
No position
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
No position
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
Yes position
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?
Ends Sep 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Services Down Parlay
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes 81% 12.35 shares
- Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 89% 11.24 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?No 95% 11.58 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No 85% 11.76 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 98% 10.2 shares
- Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?No 90.8% 11.01 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 97.9% 10.21 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?Yes 94% 10.64 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?Yes 94% 10.64 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?No 94% 10.64 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?No 96.3% 10.38 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No 95.5% 10.47 shares