No position
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $374.52
- Potential payout
- $445.86
- Potential profit
- $71.34
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $374.52
Polymarket Trader
0xb228553C13D8637e5a8E11344B0338A194c222A5-1769693808978
0xb228553c13d8637e5a8e11344b0338a194c222a5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.39K
- Realized PnL
- $24.74
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $329.7
- Potential payout
- $329.7
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $181.18
Yes position
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17.1%
- Current value
- $46.87
- Potential payout
- $274.91
- Potential profit
- $228.04
- Multiplier
- 5.87x
- User PnL
- $46.87
No position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $244.49
- Potential profit
- $244.49
- User PnL
- -$114.66
Yes position
Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $234.98
- Potential profit
- $234.98
- User PnL
- -$38.63
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $205.23
- Potential profit
- $205.23
- User PnL
- -$64.91
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $157.1
- Potential profit
- $157.1
- User PnL
- -$121.61
No position
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $129.22
- Potential payout
- $155.78
- Potential profit
- $26.56
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $18.23
No position
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $108.35
- Potential payout
- $117.14
- Potential profit
- $8.79
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $16.52
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.94
- Potential profit
- $105.94
- User PnL
- -$51.91
No position
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.55
- Potential profit
- $103.55
- User PnL
- -$71.25
Yes position
Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.17
- Potential profit
- $102.17
- User PnL
- -$13.37
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $91.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $22
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $99.98
- Potential payout
- $99.98
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $93.48
Yes position
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.69
- Potential profit
- $83.69
- User PnL
- -$4.05
Yes position
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $13.01
- Potential payout
- $81.32
- Potential profit
- $68.31
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $13.01
No position
Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $41.23
- Potential payout
- $60.63
- Potential profit
- $19.4
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $24.86
Yes position
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $6.73
- Potential payout
- $58.54
- Potential profit
- $51.81
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $3.15
- Potential payout
- $52.45
- Potential profit
- $49.3
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $48.19
- Potential payout
- $51.54
- Potential profit
- $3.35
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $6.41
No position
Will Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $51.49
- Potential payout
- $51.49
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $51.49
Yes position
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.06
- Potential profit
- $50.06
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.59
Yes position
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 15%
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will Loopscale launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?No 74% 52.6 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?No 74% 48.7 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 43.9% 50 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?No 74% 50 shares
- Will Loopscale launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes 8.9% 50 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No 29% 9 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?No 80% 1.31 shares
- Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?No 84% 1.43 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 83% 1.54 shares
- Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?No 80.4% 56 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No 30.5% 10.84 shares
- Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes 47% 1.66 shares