m00f

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.3K
Potential profit: $6.3K
User PnL: -$12.6

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $151.54
Potential payout: $4.66K
Potential profit: $4.51K
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: $51.54

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.95K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $450.47
Potential payout: $3.3K
Potential profit: $2.85K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$49.52

Yes position

Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.18K
Potential profit: $3.18K
User PnL: -$130.35

Yes position

Will Netherlands be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $316.51
Potential payout: $3.17K
Potential profit: $2.85K
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$74.07

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $38.75
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.46K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$11.25

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $131.19
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $1.93K
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: $20.2

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $50.35
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.85K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $199.75
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $50.15

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $171.56
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $18.56

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $33.03
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$28.74

Yes position

Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $199.51
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $908.9
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $66.7

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $196.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $803.5
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: $36.5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $59.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $940.49
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$24.5

No position

Will Germany score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $702.63
Potential payout: $930.63
Potential profit: $228
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $32.57

Yes position

Will Declan Rice win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $13.22
Potential payout: $801.01
Potential profit: $787.79
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $745.73
Potential profit: $745.73
User PnL: -$124.35

Yes position

Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$96

FC Bayern München position

Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500.25
Potential profit: $500.25
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $72.13
Potential payout: $480.86
Potential profit: $408.73
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$19.23

FC Bayern München position

Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $21.26
Potential payout: $265.79
Potential profit: $244.53
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$6.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $691

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.17

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.51

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.85

Yes position

Will Iran strike UAE again in March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.36

Yes position

Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $103.41

Yes position

Will Iran strike Jordan in March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.86

Yes position

Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.74

Yes position

Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $65.64

No position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.24

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.41

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $46.77

Under position

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.17

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.65

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.83

Yes position

Will Trump say "Biden" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.72

No position

Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during victory rally?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.01

Paris Saint-Germain FC position

Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

No position

Will Iran strike Turkey in March?