No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $89
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $111
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$11
Polymarket Trader
xfm-7-2
0xb22cce2b6dc48f16ad566b1d772a321e5a1c7057
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $89
- Realized PnL
- -$49.05
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $188.41
- Potential profit
- $188.41
- User PnL
- -$48.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $16.2
No position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 30%
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $9.8
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$5.7
No position
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$19.85
No position
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 8)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?No 50% 200 shares
- Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?Yes 27% 190 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No 30% 180 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No 42% 180 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No 42% 5 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No 41% 175 shares
- Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?Yes 32% 150 shares
- Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 8)No 34% 150 shares