Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.89
Polymarket Trader
Kellermen
0xb231e825447e332dc3e03e9ed9c9cf9bd6d75dd7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.03
- Realized PnL
- -$1
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.98
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.12
- Potential profit
- $7.12
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?Yes 33.9% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 16?Yes 0.5% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 16?Yes 8% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 16?Yes 32% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 16?Yes 20.5% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 15?No 99.1% 2.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?Yes 99.1% 12.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 15?No 73% 2.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?Yes 59% 2.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?Yes 59.6% 10.07 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?No 44% 5.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 15?Yes 34% 10.68 shares