Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $149.49
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$248.51
Polymarket Trader
AlexTenFit
0xb23756da2fcf999f3e9074e50fda3deea1e776aa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $151.06
- Realized PnL
- $561.9
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $1.58
- Potential payout
- $68.49
- Potential profit
- $66.92
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$3.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $502.17
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.53
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.71
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.33
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.27
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.21
Yes position
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.54
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Tucker Carlson federally charged?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.44
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20%
- Multiplier
- 5.01x
- User PnL
- -$2.59
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Israeli forces enter Beirut by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump say "Colombia" this week? (January 11)
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 9% 522.22 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 20.1% 235.84 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 10% 200 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 10.8% 131.54 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 10% 300 shares
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes 12.5% 5.71 shares
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes 18.3% 27.32 shares
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes 12.9% 64.17 shares
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?Yes 3% 250 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 43.1% 65.31 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 44.6% 65.31 shares
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?Yes 2% 250 shares