No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $23.1
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $3.1
Polymarket Trader
DailyFireSale
0xb23ac32b3bf86514d8870bc26a1e0308325116a9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23.81
- Realized PnL
- -$18.3
- Win rate
- 55.6%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $1.79
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$2.41
No position
Will Iran strike Iraq again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$15.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 56% 1.79 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 54.9% 21,292.69 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 67% 89.55 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 67.5% 118.53 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 68.5% 116.78 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 65% 107.69 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 65% 46.15 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 58% 51.72 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 58% 17.24 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 57% 8.77 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 58% 8.62 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 57% 5.26 shares