Polymarket Trader

BetterDaysToCome

0xb23e88a3e729951c1992b361435a5c410fcf829a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.9K
Realized PnL: $81.42
Win rate: 46.2%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $599.4
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$176.4

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $469.62
Potential payout: $524.72
Potential profit: $55.1
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $2.62

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $491.23
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $8.75
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $21.35

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $343.87
Potential payout: $349.99
Potential profit: $6.12
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $28.73

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $256.65
Potential payout: $300.18
Potential profit: $43.53
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.4%
Current value: $25.05
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $274.95
Multiplier: 11.98x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $202.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $97.5
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$17.5

No position

Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.79
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$32.54

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $104.97
Potential payout: $115.99
Potential profit: $11.02
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $23.78

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $8.37
Potential payout: $10.4
Potential profit: $2.03
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $2.86

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.8

France position

Spread: France (-1.5)

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.5

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $7.75

Vexa position

Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Vexa (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.25

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $5.53

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: -$3.32

No position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$9.31

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?

Yes 85% 30 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

No 88.9% 164.18 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

No 89% 300 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

No 89% 224.72 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?

No 12% 100 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 77% 29.6 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?

No 18% 36 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?

Yes 66.9% 5.03 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?

No 33% 500 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?

No 18% 10 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?

No 16% 0.99 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?

No 16% 200 shares