Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $5.31
- Potential payout
- $62.44
- Potential profit
- $57.13
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$19.69
Polymarket Trader
KevinSwiss
0xb2415587601300af0488df8e5c4388527d877ea6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $32.13
- Realized PnL
- $62.56
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $13.64
- Potential payout
- $60.61
- Potential profit
- $46.97
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$6.36
Yes position
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $12.52
- Potential payout
- $41.73
- Potential profit
- $29.21
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$6.67
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.5
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $21.74
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $0.51
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $13.78
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.9
- Potential profit
- $9.9
- User PnL
- -$6.93
Yes position
Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.17
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.5
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.32
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.83
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.25
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
Yes position
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Clarence Thomas attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Judy Shelton attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?Yes 23% 21.74 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes 8% 37.5 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes 33% 60.61 shares
- Kash Patel out by June 30?No 38% 26.32 shares
- Will Trump say "Windsor" during King Charles visit?No 56.1% 17.82 shares
- Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Yes 46% 41.73 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETDown 51% 1.9 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 1% 100 shares
- Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Yes 12% 8.33 shares
- Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Yes 7% 14.29 shares
- Iran leadership change by March 31?No 65% 15.38 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETDown 50% 1.94 shares