Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $143.83
- Potential payout
- $5.87K
- Potential profit
- $5.73K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$8.16
Polymarket Trader
lolomgggty
0xb242190d0b440b508aed93a963dbbd603890eb89
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.72K
- Realized PnL
- $8.36K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.86K
- Potential profit
- $5.86K
- User PnL
- -$127.84
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.61K
- Potential profit
- $3.61K
- User PnL
- -$444.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 66-67°F on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.76K
- Potential profit
- $2.76K
- User PnL
- -$220.54
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.29K
- Potential profit
- $2.29K
- User PnL
- -$160
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $188.87
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.03K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$33.33
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- User PnL
- -$324.55
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $1.45K
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $446.33
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$40.68
No position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- User PnL
- -$966.31
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$152.75
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- User PnL
- -$148
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- User PnL
- -$1.21K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- User PnL
- -$276.37
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- User PnL
- -$330.81
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- User PnL
- -$159.28
No position
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$136.5
Yes position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$591.09
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $969.87
- Potential profit
- $969.87
- User PnL
- -$156.52
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $950.2
- Potential profit
- $950.2
- User PnL
- -$444.25
Yes position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $903.12
- Potential profit
- $903.12
- User PnL
- -$184.23
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $704.6
- Potential payout
- $897.58
- Potential profit
- $192.98
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.1%
- Current value
- $221.92
- Potential payout
- $884.14
- Potential profit
- $662.22
- Multiplier
- 3.98x
- User PnL
- -$157.32
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $6.24
- Potential payout
- $831.35
- Potential profit
- $825.12
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$42.44
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $815.68
- Potential profit
- $815.68
- User PnL
- -$773.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $592.93
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $585.43
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $533.16
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $452.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C or higher on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450.02
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $396.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $394.24
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $377.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $347.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 78°F or higher on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.77
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $310.64
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.07
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.22
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.8
Yes position
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.54
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $267.96
No position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.02
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $244.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.26
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $222.43
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes 14% 12.31 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 17% 588.24 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?Yes 58% 258.62 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No 71% 46.39 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 30% 76.23 shares
- Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?Yes 96.2% 374.01 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 80.1% 77.61 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 79.4% 15.52 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?Yes 67% 3.55 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes 5% 865.33 shares
- Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No 93% 110.47 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 56% 330.01 shares