Polymarket Trader

3musketeers

@lilwan1986

0xb2516845269865081e24f54708f4127d60de6f5b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.44K
Realized PnL: $85.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.2%
Current value: $2.54K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $22.46K
Multiplier: 9.85x
User PnL: -$284.65

Yes position

Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $8.26K
Potential payout: $13.65K
Potential profit: $5.39K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$178.86

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $305
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $695
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $85

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $605
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $395
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$105

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $37
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $963
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $27.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $972.49
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $287.41
Potential payout: $499.84
Potential profit: $212.43
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $259.49
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $40.5
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $82.83
Potential payout: $220.89
Potential profit: $138.05
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$2.19

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $22.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $177.5
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: -$11.3

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $13
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $186.99
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.01K

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.55K

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.51K

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9K

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-29?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.44K

Yes position

Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35K

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33K

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13K

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49K

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49K

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-01?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32K

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

No position

Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $916.15

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $908.18

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $893.07

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $870.77

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-04?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $869.83

No position

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-27?

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $795

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $790

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-11-06?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $736.18

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $690.2

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $653.13

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $651.61

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score

Yes 19% 438.76 shares
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score

Yes 21% 11.25 shares
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Morocco 10% 989.99 shares
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Morocco 12% 10 shares
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score

Yes 33% 150 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Germany 58% 100 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score

Yes 78% 141.32 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score

Yes 80% 125 shares
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score

Yes 51% 500 shares
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 34% 22.36 shares
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 35% 85.61 shares
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 62% 70 shares