Polymarket Trader

0xb254d24b418EB429628E2ECA9F390b8b69C5Ee4f-1778843137057

@VitaliyKovalyuk

0xb254d24b418eb429628e2eca9f390b8b69c5ee4f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $310.51
Realized PnL: $447.01
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.46K
Potential profit: $4.46K
User PnL: -$98.26

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $17.21
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $2.01K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$7.09

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$1.43

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.82
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$23.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$32.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950
Potential profit: $950
User PnL: -$3.57

No position

Will Trump publicly praise Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 21.3%
Current value: $130.99
Potential payout: $616.45
Potential profit: $485.45
Multiplier: 4.71x
User PnL: -$251.13

Yes position

SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$4.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $542.64
Potential profit: $542.64
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $5.13
Potential payout: $540
Potential profit: $534.87
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$19.95

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $3.44
Potential payout: $528.93
Potential profit: $525.49
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$26.62

Yes position

Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $59.54
Potential payout: $517.74
Potential profit: $458.2
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$6.2

Yes position

Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $22
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $378
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $6.6
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $393.39
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$4.6

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $19.8
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $380.19
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$12.3

Yes position

Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $27.69
Potential payout: $346.16
Potential profit: $318.47
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$17.31

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $13.29
Potential payout: $328.08
Potential profit: $314.79
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$11.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.77

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.93

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $78.98

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $58.13

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54.21

Yes position

Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.05

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.94

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Multiplier: 2.71x
User PnL: $33.02

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.52

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: $2.89

Yes position

Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.52

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.38

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: -$5.47

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.74

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13.18

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13.73

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$37.93

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump publicly praise Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?

No 62% 616.45 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Yes 11.1% 45.03 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Yes 11% 45.41 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 9% 29.99 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Yes 7.3% 213 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 21.3% 200 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Yes 2.6% 379.53 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Yes 2.7% 740.74 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Yes 28.5% 200 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 6.1% 100 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 19.9% 200 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 8.6% 16.96 shares