Polymarket Trader

bdb5264 - 37039

0xb26156d7f857a341c2b9a34636c02f54958c09a7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $207.61
Realized PnL: $1.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.98K
Potential profit: $1.98K
User PnL: -$500

No position

Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$824.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.35
Potential profit: $999.35
User PnL: -$481.34

No position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $979.11
Potential profit: $979.11
User PnL: -$500

No position

OpenAI browser by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $761.9
Potential profit: $761.9
User PnL: -$160

Yes position

Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $682.67
Potential profit: $682.67
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021?

Ends Oct 1, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $290.85
Potential profit: $290.85
User PnL: -$56.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $264.98
Potential profit: $264.98
User PnL: -$95.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $264.98
Potential profit: $264.98
User PnL: -$95.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $251.41
Potential profit: $251.41
User PnL: -$95.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $189.16
Potential profit: $189.16
User PnL: -$96.47

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on September 17?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183.96
Potential profit: $183.96
User PnL: -$101.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $179.05
Potential profit: $179.05
User PnL: -$96.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.91
Potential profit: $172.91
User PnL: -$96.83

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $106
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $27.33
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $6

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $101.61
Potential payout: $107.53
Potential profit: $5.91
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.4
Potential profit: $96.4
User PnL: -$48.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.26
Potential profit: $87.26
User PnL: -$47.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.74
Potential profit: $86.74
User PnL: -$48.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.41
Potential profit: $79.41
User PnL: -$48.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $415.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $311.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.02

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $91.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.42

No position

Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.5

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: October

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.51

No position

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.77

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 75% 133.33 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 93% 107.53 shares
Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken?

Yes 14.6% 682.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Up 53% 47.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Up 53% 47.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Up 94% 76.97 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Up 75.5% 33.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Up 57% 43.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Up 4.4% 566.28 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Up 10.4% 197.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Up 11% 643.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Up 7% 357.14 shares